Aurora Borealis in Agincourt South-Malvern West
Canada · 43.79°, -79.27° · geomagnetic 53.1° · needs Kp 7
Tonight in Agincourt South-Malvern West
1%
Peak chance of a visible display tonight, from the same model the Revon app runs. Agincourt South-Malvern West needs Kp 7 to see anything at all, and tonight the forecast peaks at Kp 5.1. Short of the threshold, which is what most nights look like here.
Updated 2026-08-02 20:20 UTC
The next 30 nights in Agincourt South-Malvern West
Every night to come, scored the same way as tonight. The best of the open week is Sunday 2 Aug at 1%. Not one of the seven reaches the Kp 7 that Agincourt South-Malvern West needs, which is normal rather than unlucky — it averages 3.2 viable nights a year. The 23 nights past the seven-day window move with the 27-day solar rotation and are updated daily in the app.
Nights 8–30 unlock in the Revon app
See all 30 nights for Agincourt South-Malvern West
Revon aurora model over the NOAA Kp forecast and 27-day outlook
How often the aurora borealis reaches Agincourt South-Malvern West
3.2 nights a year, averaged across 10.0 years of records
| Storm level | Nights / year |
|---|---|
| Kp 4 | 83.4 |
| Kp 5 | 28.7 |
| Kp 6 | 9.3 |
| Kp 7 | 3.2 |
| Kp 8 | 1.2 |
NOAA planetary Kp, 2016-04-02 to 2026-03-30
Wait for an alert; do not book a week
At Kp 7, Agincourt South-Malvern West needs a severe geomagnetic storm before anything shows above the northern horizon. Storms that size arrive a handful of times per solar cycle and announce themselves a day or two ahead. Watching for one beats picking dates and hoping.
Hours of true darkness, month by month
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.3 | 10.3 | 9.0 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 6.4 | 8.3 | 9.9 | 11.1 | 11.6 |
Solar declination and hour angle at −18°
Getting clear of the light
Agincourt South-Malvern West is small enough that its own lights are a minor problem — the centre reads Bortle 8. Walking to the edge of town is often escape enough.
- 48 km east-north-east — around Clarington → Bortle 5
- 62 km east → Bortle 4
Falchi 2016 World Atlas (DOI: 10.5880/GFZ.1.4.2016.001)
The months that actually deliver
Counting only nights that were both stormy enough and dark enough, May, September and August came out ahead in Agincourt South-Malvern West. That is storm season and darkness overlapping — the equinoxes tend to be geomagnetically active, and the nights are already long by then.
Darkest nights of the coming year
A bright moon washes out a weak display as effectively as street lighting. These new moons fall inside the Agincourt South-Malvern West viewing season.
- 13 Aug 2026
- 11 Sep 2026
- 11 Oct 2026
- 09 Nov 2026
- 09 Dec 2026
- 07 Jan 2027
- 06 Feb 2027
Where it is close to a certainty
If you would rather plan a trip than wait for a storm, the nearest place with genuinely frequent aurora is Nuuk, 2,849 km north-north-east in Greenland.
| Agincourt South-Malvern West | Nuuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Kp needed | 7 | 3 |
| Nights per year | 3.2 | 171.4 |
| Geomagnetic latitude | 53.1° | 72.6° |
Confirmed reports from this area
62 verified sightings were logged within 300 km of Agincourt South-Malvern West between 2015-01-01 and 2016-12-31. Rare is not the same as impossible.
Aurorasaurus verified positive reports
Where the horizon opens up near Agincourt South-Malvern West
The display sits low on the northern horizon, so what beats a better forecast is open ground facing that way. Height gets you above the town glow; water gives you an unbroken skyline. These are within a short drive of Agincourt South-Malvern West.
- Frenchman's Bay — bay15.0 km east-north-east
- Moore Point — headland17.4 km east
- Pickering Beach — beach17.6 km east
- Dicksons Hill — hill18.0 km north
- Heise Hill — hill18.6 km north-north-west
- Simcoe Point — headland20.3 km east
Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0)
What to do with the daylight
Aurora watching is a night job, and in winter that leaves a short, bright day to fill. Agincourt South-Malvern West keeps its fortified past above ground, at Casa Loma and CN Tower, and for a day when the cloud sits low, Ontario Science Centre are indoors and near by.
Keep the daylight loose: the sky decides the evening, and the forecast can turn within a few hours.
Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0)
Where to stay
Anywhere on the outskirts of Agincourt South-Malvern West will do; what matters is being able to step outside and check the sky without a drive first.
- Travelodge Toronto East 2.5 km from the centre
- Monte Carlo Inn & Suites Downtown Markham 6.5 km from the centre
- Monte Carlo Inns And Suites Downtown Markham 6.6 km from the centre
- Seneca Residence & Conference Centre 6.7 km from the centre
- Seneca Newnham Residence and Conference Center 6.8 km from the centre
- Holiday Inn Hotel & Suites Toronto Markham 7.3 km from the centre
Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0) — confirm before booking
The last nights it was visible here
Nights in the last decade when the storm was strong enough for Agincourt South-Malvern West and the sky was dark enough to show it.
| Date | Peak |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Kp 7.0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Kp 7.67 |
| 2026-01-19 | Kp 8.67 |
| 2025-11-12 | Kp 7.33 |
| 2025-11-11 | Kp 8.67 |
NOAA planetary Kp
Know when it is worth going outside
Revon watches the Agincourt South-Malvern West forecast and pushes an alert when the odds for tonight clear your threshold — no checking, no guessing.
Common questions about the aurora borealis in Agincourt South-Malvern West
Can you see the aurora borealis from Agincourt South-Malvern West?
Yes. On the last 10.0 years of NOAA Kp records, Agincourt South-Malvern West had about 3.2 nights a year when the storm was strong enough and the sky dark enough at the same time.
What Kp index do you need to see the aurora borealis in Agincourt South-Malvern West?
Kp 7. Agincourt South-Malvern West sits at geomagnetic latitude 53.1°, and the auroral oval only reaches that far from the pole once activity hits Kp 7. Storms that size occur about 3.2 nights a year.
When is the best time of year to see the aurora borealis in Agincourt South-Malvern West?
May, September and August. Those months scored highest once both conditions are counted together: geomagnetic activity and enough hours of real darkness.
Where can you escape the light pollution near Agincourt South-Malvern West?
The centre of Agincourt South-Malvern West reads Bortle 8. The nearest sky at Bortle 4 is about 62 km east. On a marginal night that drive matters more than the forecast does.
Where is the nearest place to Agincourt South-Malvern West with reliable aurora borealis?
Nuuk, Greenland — 2,849 km north-north-east. It needs only Kp 3 and averages 171.4 viable nights a year against 3.2 in Agincourt South-Malvern West.
Nearby towns
Forecasts for places within reach of Agincourt South-Malvern West.