Aurora Borealis in Bayview Village
Canada · 43.78°, -79.38° · geomagnetic 53.0° · needs Kp 7
Tonight in Bayview Village
1%
Peak chance of a visible display tonight, from the same model the Revon app runs. Bayview Village needs Kp 7 to see anything at all, and tonight the forecast peaks at Kp 5.1. Short of the threshold, which is what most nights look like here.
Updated 2026-08-02 20:20 UTC
The next 30 nights in Bayview Village
Every night to come, scored the same way as tonight. The best of the open week is Sunday 2 Aug at 1%. Not one of the seven reaches the Kp 7 that Bayview Village needs, which is normal rather than unlucky — it averages 3.2 viable nights a year. The 23 nights past the seven-day window move with the 27-day solar rotation and are updated daily in the app.
Nights 8–30 unlock in the Revon app
See all 30 nights for Bayview Village
Revon aurora model over the NOAA Kp forecast and 27-day outlook
How often the aurora borealis reaches Bayview Village
3.2 nights a year, averaged across 10.0 years of records
| Storm level | Nights / year |
|---|---|
| Kp 4 | 83.4 |
| Kp 5 | 28.7 |
| Kp 6 | 9.3 |
| Kp 7 | 3.2 |
| Kp 8 | 1.2 |
NOAA planetary Kp, 2016-04-02 to 2026-03-30
Wait for an alert; do not book a week
At Kp 7, Bayview Village needs a severe geomagnetic storm before anything shows above the northern horizon. Storms that size arrive a handful of times per solar cycle and announce themselves a day or two ahead. Watching for one beats picking dates and hoping.
Hours of true darkness, month by month
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.3 | 10.3 | 9.0 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 6.4 | 8.3 | 9.9 | 11.1 | 11.6 |
Solar declination and hour angle at −18°
Getting clear of the light
Bayview Village is small enough that its own lights are a minor problem — the centre reads Bortle 9. Walking to the edge of town is often escape enough.
- 54 km north — around Georgina → Bortle 5
- 71 km east → Bortle 4
Falchi 2016 World Atlas (DOI: 10.5880/GFZ.1.4.2016.001)
The months that actually deliver
Counting only nights that were both stormy enough and dark enough, May, September and August came out ahead in Bayview Village. That is storm season and darkness overlapping — the equinoxes tend to be geomagnetically active, and the nights are already long by then.
Darkest nights of the coming year
A bright moon washes out a weak display as effectively as street lighting. These new moons fall inside the Bayview Village viewing season.
- 13 Aug 2026
- 11 Sep 2026
- 11 Oct 2026
- 09 Nov 2026
- 09 Dec 2026
- 07 Jan 2027
- 06 Feb 2027
Where it is close to a certainty
If you would rather plan a trip than wait for a storm, the nearest place with genuinely frequent aurora is Nuuk, 2,854 km north-north-east in Greenland.
| Bayview Village | Nuuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Kp needed | 7 | 3 |
| Nights per year | 3.2 | 171.4 |
| Geomagnetic latitude | 53.0° | 72.6° |
Confirmed reports from this area
63 verified sightings were logged within 300 km of Bayview Village between 2015-01-01 and 2016-12-31. Rare is not the same as impossible.
Aurorasaurus verified positive reports
Where the horizon opens up near Bayview Village
The display sits low on the northern horizon, so what beats a better forecast is open ground facing that way. Height gets you above the town glow; water gives you an unbroken skyline. These are within a short drive of Bayview Village.
- Environment and Climate Change Canada — observatory7.2 km west
- Canada's Wonderland — park14.9 km west-north-west
- Heise Hill — hill17.5 km north
- Philips Lake — lake17.7 km north-north-west
- Thompson Lake — lake18.2 km north-north-west
- Dicksons Hill — hill20.8 km north-north-east
Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0)
What to do with the daylight
Aurora watching is a night job, and in winter that leaves a short, bright day to fill. Bayview Village keeps its fortified past above ground, at Casa Loma and CN Tower, and for a day when the cloud sits low, Ontario Science Centre, Gardiner Museum and The Royal Ontario Museum are indoors and near by.
Keep the daylight loose: the sky decides the evening, and the forecast can turn within a few hours.
Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0)
Where to stay
Anywhere on the outskirts of Bayview Village will do; what matters is being able to step outside and check the sky without a drive first.
- Seneca Newnham Residence and Conference Center 2.9 km from the centre
- Seneca Residence & Conference Centre 3.2 km from the centre
- Banting House B&B 3.6 km from the centre
- Holiday Inn Hotel & Suites Toronto Markham 5.0 km from the centre
- Caesar Spa Holiday Inn Markham 5.1 km from the centre
- Holiday Inn and Suites Toronto Markham 5.1 km from the centre
Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0) — confirm before booking
The last nights it was visible here
Nights in the last decade when the storm was strong enough for Bayview Village and the sky was dark enough to show it.
| Date | Peak |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Kp 7.0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Kp 7.67 |
| 2026-01-19 | Kp 8.67 |
| 2025-11-12 | Kp 7.33 |
| 2025-11-11 | Kp 8.67 |
NOAA planetary Kp
Know when it is worth going outside
Revon watches the Bayview Village forecast and pushes an alert when the odds for tonight clear your threshold — no checking, no guessing.
Common questions about the aurora borealis in Bayview Village
Can you see the aurora borealis from Bayview Village?
Yes. On the last 10.0 years of NOAA Kp records, Bayview Village had about 3.2 nights a year when the storm was strong enough and the sky dark enough at the same time.
What Kp index do you need to see the aurora borealis in Bayview Village?
Kp 7. Bayview Village sits at geomagnetic latitude 53.0°, and the auroral oval only reaches that far from the pole once activity hits Kp 7. Storms that size occur about 3.2 nights a year.
When is the best time of year to see the aurora borealis in Bayview Village?
May, September and August. Those months scored highest once both conditions are counted together: geomagnetic activity and enough hours of real darkness.
Where can you escape the light pollution near Bayview Village?
The centre of Bayview Village reads Bortle 9. The nearest sky at Bortle 4 is about 71 km east. On a marginal night that drive matters more than the forecast does.
Where is the nearest place to Bayview Village with reliable aurora borealis?
Nuuk, Greenland — 2,854 km north-north-east. It needs only Kp 3 and averages 171.4 viable nights a year against 3.2 in Bayview Village.
Nearby towns
Forecasts for places within reach of Bayview Village.