Aurora Borealis in Orpington

United Kingdom · 51.37°, 0.10° · geomagnetic 53.2° · needs Kp 7

Tonight in Orpington

2%

Peak chance of a visible display tonight, from the same model the Revon app runs. Orpington needs Kp 7 to see anything at all, and tonight the forecast peaks at Kp 5.7. Short of the threshold, which is what most nights look like here.

Tonight Sun 02 Aug
2%
18
20
22
00
02
04
06
Tomorrow Mon 3 Aug
1%
Hour-by-hour for this night is in the app
Tuesday Tue 4 Aug
1%
Hour-by-hour for this night is in the app

Unlock every hour in the app

Updated 2026-08-02 20:20 UTC

The next 30 nights in Orpington

Every night to come, scored the same way as tonight. The best of the open week is Sunday 2 Aug at 2%. Not one of the seven reaches the Kp 7 that Orpington needs, which is normal rather than unlucky — it averages 2.7 viable nights a year. The 23 nights past the seven-day window move with the 27-day solar rotation and are updated daily in the app.

Quiet geomagnetic conditions ahead. No significant aurora activity expected this month.

Sun 2
2%
Kp 5.7
Mon 3
1%
Kp 3.3
Tue 4
1%
Kp 1.8
Wed 5
1%
Kp 3.0
Thu 6
1%
Kp 3.0
Fri 7
1%
Kp 2.0
Sat 8
1%
Kp 2.0

Nights 8–30 unlock in the Revon app

See all 30 nights for Orpington

Revon aurora model over the NOAA Kp forecast and 27-day outlook

How often the aurora borealis reaches Orpington

2.7 nights a year, averaged across 10.0 years of records

Storm levelNights / year
Kp 483.4
Kp 528.7
Kp 69.3
Kp 73.2
Kp 81.2

NOAA planetary Kp, 2016-04-02 to 2026-03-30

Wait for an alert; do not book a week

At Kp 7, Orpington needs a severe geomagnetic storm before anything shows above the northern horizon. Storms that size arrive a handful of times per solar cycle and announce themselves a day or two ahead. Watching for one beats picking dates and hoping.

Hours of true darkness, month by month

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
11.610.38.55.92.40.00.04.77.69.811.312.0

Solar declination and hour angle at −18°

Nothing to see from June to July

Through those months the sun never falls more than 18° below the Orpington horizon, so the sky never darkens fully. Plan around the darker half of the year.

Getting clear of the light

Orpington is small enough that its own lights are a minor problem — the centre reads Bortle 8. Walking to the edge of town is often escape enough.

Falchi 2016 World Atlas (DOI: 10.5880/GFZ.1.4.2016.001)

The months that actually deliver

Counting only nights that were both stormy enough and dark enough, September, August and November came out ahead in Orpington. That is storm season and darkness overlapping — the equinoxes tend to be geomagnetically active, and the nights are already long by then.

Darkest nights of the coming year

A bright moon washes out a weak display as effectively as street lighting. These new moons fall inside the Orpington viewing season.

Where it is close to a certainty

If you would rather plan a trip than wait for a storm, the nearest place with genuinely frequent aurora is Inverness, 734 km north-north-west in United Kingdom.

OrpingtonInverness
Kp needed75
Nights per year2.7 28.7
Geomagnetic latitude53.2° 59.8°

See the Inverness forecast

Confirmed reports from this area

46 verified sightings were logged within 300 km of Orpington between 2015-01-01 and 2016-12-31. Rare is not the same as impossible.

Aurorasaurus verified positive reports

Where the horizon opens up near Orpington

The display sits low on the northern horizon, so what beats a better forecast is open ground facing that way. Height gets you above the town glow; water gives you an unbroken skyline. These are within a short drive of Orpington.

Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0)

What to do with the daylight

Aurora watching is a night job, and in winter that leaves a short, bright day to fill. Orpington keeps its fortified past above ground, at St Mary Cray The Mount, St Mary Cray Hockenden and Chrystal Palace Transmitting Station, and for a day when the cloud sits low, Diddy Harrison Planetarium, National Maritime Museum and Queen's House are indoors and near by.

Keep the daylight loose: the sky decides the evening, and the forecast can turn within a few hours.

Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0)

Where to stay

Anywhere on the outskirts of Orpington will do; what matters is being able to step outside and check the sky without a drive first.

Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0) — confirm before booking

The last nights it was visible here

Nights in the last decade when the storm was strong enough for Orpington and the sky was dark enough to show it.

DatePeak
2026-03-20Kp 7.0
2026-01-20Kp 7.67
2026-01-19Kp 8.67
2025-11-12Kp 7.33
2025-11-11Kp 8.67

NOAA planetary Kp

Know when it is worth going outside

Revon watches the Orpington forecast and pushes an alert when the odds for tonight clear your threshold — no checking, no guessing.

Get aurora alerts on iPhone

Common questions about the aurora borealis in Orpington

Can you see the aurora borealis from Orpington?

Yes. On the last 10.0 years of NOAA Kp records, Orpington had about 2.7 nights a year when the storm was strong enough and the sky dark enough at the same time.

What Kp index do you need to see the aurora borealis in Orpington?

Kp 7. Orpington sits at geomagnetic latitude 53.2°, and the auroral oval only reaches that far from the pole once activity hits Kp 7. Storms that size occur about 3.2 nights a year.

When is the best time of year to see the aurora borealis in Orpington?

September, August and November. Those months scored highest once both conditions are counted together: geomagnetic activity and enough hours of real darkness. From June to July the sky over Orpington never gets fully dark, so nothing is visible however strong the storm.

Where can you escape the light pollution near Orpington?

The centre of Orpington reads Bortle 8. The nearest sky at Bortle 4 is about 64 km east-north-east. On a marginal night that drive matters more than the forecast does.

Where is the nearest place to Orpington with reliable aurora borealis?

Inverness, United Kingdom — 734 km north-north-west. It needs only Kp 5 and averages 28.7 viable nights a year against 2.7 in Orpington.

Nearby towns

Forecasts for places within reach of Orpington.