Aurora Borealis in Rugby

United Kingdom · 52.37°, -1.26° · geomagnetic 54.4° · needs Kp 7

Tonight in Rugby

4%

Peak chance of a visible display tonight, from the same model the Revon app runs. Rugby needs Kp 7 to see anything at all, and tonight the forecast peaks at Kp 5.7. Short of the threshold, which is what most nights look like here.

Tonight Sun 02 Aug
4%
18
20
22
00
02
04
06
Tomorrow Mon 3 Aug
1%
Hour-by-hour for this night is in the app
Tuesday Tue 4 Aug
1%
Hour-by-hour for this night is in the app

Unlock every hour in the app

Updated 2026-08-02 20:20 UTC

The next 30 nights in Rugby

Every night to come, scored the same way as tonight. The best of the open week is Sunday 2 Aug at 4%. Not one of the seven reaches the Kp 7 that Rugby needs, which is normal rather than unlucky — it averages 2.7 viable nights a year. The 23 nights past the seven-day window move with the 27-day solar rotation and are updated daily in the app.

Quiet geomagnetic conditions ahead. No significant aurora activity expected this month.

Sun 2
4%
Kp 5.7
Mon 3
1%
Kp 3.3
Tue 4
1%
Kp 1.8
Wed 5
1%
Kp 3.0
Thu 6
1%
Kp 3.0
Fri 7
1%
Kp 2.0
Sat 8
1%
Kp 2.0

Nights 8–30 unlock in the Revon app

See all 30 nights for Rugby

Revon aurora model over the NOAA Kp forecast and 27-day outlook

How often the aurora borealis reaches Rugby

2.7 nights a year, averaged across 10.0 years of records

Storm levelNights / year
Kp 483.4
Kp 528.7
Kp 69.3
Kp 73.2
Kp 81.2

NOAA planetary Kp, 2016-04-02 to 2026-03-30

Wait for an alert; do not book a week

At Kp 7, Rugby needs a severe geomagnetic storm before anything shows above the northern horizon. Storms that size arrive a handful of times per solar cycle and announce themselves a day or two ahead. Watching for one beats picking dates and hoping.

Hours of true darkness, month by month

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
11.710.38.55.71.60.00.04.47.59.711.412.1

Solar declination and hour angle at −18°

Nothing to see from June to July

Through those months the sun never falls more than 18° below the Rugby horizon, so the sky never darkens fully. Plan around the darker half of the year.

Getting clear of the light

The sky over Rugby reads Bortle 7. Getting clear of the built-up area makes a visible difference on a marginal night.

Falchi 2016 World Atlas (DOI: 10.5880/GFZ.1.4.2016.001)

The months that actually deliver

Counting only nights that were both stormy enough and dark enough, September, August and November came out ahead in Rugby. That is storm season and darkness overlapping — the equinoxes tend to be geomagnetically active, and the nights are already long by then.

Darkest nights of the coming year

A bright moon washes out a weak display as effectively as street lighting. These new moons fall inside the Rugby viewing season.

Where it is close to a certainty

If you would rather plan a trip than wait for a storm, the nearest place with genuinely frequent aurora is Inverness, 599 km north-north-west in United Kingdom.

RugbyInverness
Kp needed75
Nights per year2.7 28.7
Geomagnetic latitude54.4° 59.8°

See the Inverness forecast

Confirmed reports from this area

95 verified sightings were logged within 300 km of Rugby between 2015-01-01 and 2016-12-31. Rare is not the same as impossible.

Aurorasaurus verified positive reports

Where the horizon opens up near Rugby

The display sits low on the northern horizon, so what beats a better forecast is open ground facing that way. Height gets you above the town glow; water gives you an unbroken skyline. These are within a short drive of Rugby.

Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0)

What to do with the daylight

Aurora watching is a night job, and in winter that leaves a short, bright day to fill. Rugby keeps its fortified past above ground, at Brownsover, VLF transmitter Rugby, Mast 12 and VLF Transmitter Rugby, Mast 1.

Keep the daylight loose: the sky decides the evening, and the forecast can turn within a few hours.

Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0)

Where to stay

Anywhere on the outskirts of Rugby will do; what matters is being able to step outside and check the sky without a drive first.

Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0) — confirm before booking

The last nights it was visible here

Nights in the last decade when the storm was strong enough for Rugby and the sky was dark enough to show it.

DatePeak
2026-03-20Kp 7.0
2026-01-20Kp 7.67
2026-01-19Kp 8.67
2025-11-12Kp 7.33
2025-11-11Kp 8.67

NOAA planetary Kp

Know when it is worth going outside

Revon watches the Rugby forecast and pushes an alert when the odds for tonight clear your threshold — no checking, no guessing.

Get aurora alerts on iPhone

Common questions about the aurora borealis in Rugby

Can you see the aurora borealis from Rugby?

Yes. On the last 10.0 years of NOAA Kp records, Rugby had about 2.7 nights a year when the storm was strong enough and the sky dark enough at the same time.

What Kp index do you need to see the aurora borealis in Rugby?

Kp 7. Rugby sits at geomagnetic latitude 54.4°, and the auroral oval only reaches that far from the pole once activity hits Kp 7. Storms that size occur about 3.2 nights a year.

When is the best time of year to see the aurora borealis in Rugby?

September, August and November. Those months scored highest once both conditions are counted together: geomagnetic activity and enough hours of real darkness. From June to July the sky over Rugby never gets fully dark, so nothing is visible however strong the storm.

Where can you escape the light pollution near Rugby?

The centre of Rugby reads Bortle 7. The nearest sky at Bortle 4 is about 111 km east-north-east around King's Lynn and West Norfolk. On a marginal night that drive matters more than the forecast does.

Where is the nearest place to Rugby with reliable aurora borealis?

Inverness, United Kingdom — 599 km north-north-west. It needs only Kp 5 and averages 28.7 viable nights a year against 2.7 in Rugby.

Nearby towns

Forecasts for places within reach of Rugby.