Aurora Borealis in Seafair
Canada · 49.15°, -123.18° · geomagnetic 54.5° · needs Kp 7
Tonight in Seafair
1%
Peak chance of a visible display tonight, from the same model the Revon app runs. Seafair needs Kp 7 to see anything at all, and tonight the forecast peaks at Kp 4.7. Short of the threshold, which is what most nights look like here.
Updated 2026-08-02 20:20 UTC
The next 30 nights in Seafair
Every night to come, scored the same way as tonight. The best of the open week is Sunday 2 Aug at 1%. Not one of the seven reaches the Kp 7 that Seafair needs, which is normal rather than unlucky — it averages 3.1 viable nights a year. The 23 nights past the seven-day window move with the 27-day solar rotation and are updated daily in the app.
Nights 8–30 unlock in the Revon app
Revon aurora model over the NOAA Kp forecast and 27-day outlook
How often the aurora borealis reaches Seafair
3.1 nights a year, averaged across 10.0 years of records
| Storm level | Nights / year |
|---|---|
| Kp 4 | 83.4 |
| Kp 5 | 28.7 |
| Kp 6 | 9.3 |
| Kp 7 | 3.2 |
| Kp 8 | 1.2 |
NOAA planetary Kp, 2016-04-02 to 2026-03-30
Wait for an alert; do not book a week
At Kp 7, Seafair needs a severe geomagnetic storm before anything shows above the northern horizon. Storms that size arrive a handful of times per solar cycle and announce themselves a day or two ahead. Watching for one beats picking dates and hoping.
Hours of true darkness, month by month
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.6 | 10.3 | 8.7 | 6.3 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 5.3 | 7.9 | 9.8 | 11.3 | 11.9 |
Solar declination and hour angle at −18°
Nothing to see from June
Through those months the sun never falls more than 18° below the Seafair horizon, so the sky never darkens fully. Plan around the darker half of the year.
Getting clear of the light
Seafair is small enough that its own lights are a minor problem — the centre reads Bortle 7. Walking to the edge of town is often escape enough.
- 39 km north — around Area D (Elaho/Garibaldi) → Bortle 4
- 39 km north — around Area D (Elaho/Garibaldi) → Bortle 4
Falchi 2016 World Atlas (DOI: 10.5880/GFZ.1.4.2016.001)
The months that actually deliver
Counting only nights that were both stormy enough and dark enough, May, September and August came out ahead in Seafair. That is storm season and darkness overlapping — the equinoxes tend to be geomagnetically active, and the nights are already long by then.
Darkest nights of the coming year
A bright moon washes out a weak display as effectively as street lighting. These new moons fall inside the Seafair viewing season.
- 13 Aug 2026
- 11 Sep 2026
- 11 Oct 2026
- 09 Nov 2026
- 09 Dec 2026
- 07 Jan 2027
- 06 Feb 2027
Where it is close to a certainty
If you would rather plan a trip than wait for a storm, the nearest place with genuinely frequent aurora is Juneau, 1,254 km north-north-west in United States.
| Seafair | Juneau | |
|---|---|---|
| Kp needed | 7 | 5 |
| Nights per year | 3.1 | 28.7 |
| Geomagnetic latitude | 54.5° | 61.6° |
Confirmed reports from this area
55 verified sightings were logged within 300 km of Seafair between 2015-01-01 and 2016-12-31. Rare is not the same as impossible.
Aurorasaurus verified positive reports
Where the horizon opens up near Seafair
The display sits low on the northern horizon, so what beats a better forecast is open ground facing that way. Height gets you above the town glow; water gives you an unbroken skyline. These are within a short drive of Seafair.
- Minoru Park — park3.3 km east-north-east
- Sea Island — island3.8 km north-north-east
- Swishwash Island — island3.9 km north-north-west
- Middle Arm — bay4.3 km north-north-east
- Nature Park — forest reserve6.8 km east-north-east
- McDonald Slough — lake7.4 km north
Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0)
What to do with the daylight
Aurora watching is a night job, and in winter that leaves a short, bright day to fill. Close to Seafair you will find Marpole Midden, Harbour Centre and HVDC Vancouver-Island - Branch Tower, and for a day when the cloud sits low, Jewish Museum and Archives of British Columbia, Museum of Vancouver and Museum of Anthropology are indoors and near by.
Keep the daylight loose: the sky decides the evening, and the forecast can turn within a few hours.
Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0)
Where to stay
Anywhere on the outskirts of Seafair will do; what matters is being able to step outside and check the sky without a drive first.
- Executive Airport Plaza 3.5 km from the centre
- Ramada Limited Vancouver Airport 3.5 km from the centre
- Quality Hotel Airport South 3.5 km from the centre
- Executive Airprort Plaza 3.5 km from the centre
- Executive Airport Plaza & Conference Centre 3.5 km from the centre
- Best Western Richmond Hotel and Convention Centre 3.6 km from the centre
Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0) — confirm before booking
The last nights it was visible here
Nights in the last decade when the storm was strong enough for Seafair and the sky was dark enough to show it.
| Date | Peak |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Kp 7.0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Kp 7.67 |
| 2026-01-19 | Kp 8.67 |
| 2025-11-12 | Kp 7.33 |
| 2025-11-11 | Kp 8.67 |
NOAA planetary Kp
Know when it is worth going outside
Revon watches the Seafair forecast and pushes an alert when the odds for tonight clear your threshold — no checking, no guessing.
Common questions about the aurora borealis in Seafair
Can you see the aurora borealis from Seafair?
Yes. On the last 10.0 years of NOAA Kp records, Seafair had about 3.1 nights a year when the storm was strong enough and the sky dark enough at the same time.
What Kp index do you need to see the aurora borealis in Seafair?
Kp 7. Seafair sits at geomagnetic latitude 54.5°, and the auroral oval only reaches that far from the pole once activity hits Kp 7. Storms that size occur about 3.2 nights a year.
When is the best time of year to see the aurora borealis in Seafair?
May, September and August. Those months scored highest once both conditions are counted together: geomagnetic activity and enough hours of real darkness. From June the sky over Seafair never gets fully dark, so nothing is visible however strong the storm.
Where can you escape the light pollution near Seafair?
The centre of Seafair reads Bortle 7. The nearest sky at Bortle 4 is about 39 km north around Area D (Elaho/Garibaldi). On a marginal night that drive matters more than the forecast does.
Where is the nearest place to Seafair with reliable aurora borealis?
Juneau, United States — 1,254 km north-north-west. It needs only Kp 5 and averages 28.7 viable nights a year against 3.1 in Seafair.
Nearby towns
Forecasts for places within reach of Seafair.