Aurora Borealis in Valley East
Canada · 46.65°, -81.00° · geomagnetic 55.9° · needs Kp 7
Tonight in Valley East
6%
Peak chance of a visible display tonight, from the same model the Revon app runs. Valley East needs Kp 7 to see anything at all, and tonight the forecast peaks at Kp 5.1. Short of the threshold, which is what most nights look like here.
Updated 2026-08-02 20:20 UTC
The next 30 nights in Valley East
Every night to come, scored the same way as tonight. The best of the open week is Sunday 2 Aug at 6%. Not one of the seven reaches the Kp 7 that Valley East needs, which is normal rather than unlucky — it averages 3.2 viable nights a year. The 23 nights past the seven-day window move with the 27-day solar rotation and are updated daily in the app.
Nights 8–30 unlock in the Revon app
See all 30 nights for Valley East
Revon aurora model over the NOAA Kp forecast and 27-day outlook
How often the aurora borealis reaches Valley East
3.2 nights a year, averaged across 10.0 years of records
| Storm level | Nights / year |
|---|---|
| Kp 4 | 83.4 |
| Kp 5 | 28.7 |
| Kp 6 | 9.3 |
| Kp 7 | 3.2 |
| Kp 8 | 1.2 |
NOAA planetary Kp, 2016-04-02 to 2026-03-30
Wait for an alert; do not book a week
At Kp 7, Valley East needs a severe geomagnetic storm before anything shows above the northern horizon. Storms that size arrive a handful of times per solar cycle and announce themselves a day or two ahead. Watching for one beats picking dates and hoping.
Hours of true darkness, month by month
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.4 | 10.3 | 8.8 | 6.7 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 5.9 | 8.1 | 9.9 | 11.2 | 11.7 |
Solar declination and hour angle at −18°
Getting clear of the light
Valley East is small enough that its own lights are a minor problem — the centre reads Bortle 2. Walking to the edge of town is often escape enough.
- 12 km north — around Greater Sudbury → Bortle 2
- 12 km north — around Greater Sudbury → Bortle 2
Falchi 2016 World Atlas (DOI: 10.5880/GFZ.1.4.2016.001)
The months that actually deliver
Counting only nights that were both stormy enough and dark enough, May, September and August came out ahead in Valley East. That is storm season and darkness overlapping — the equinoxes tend to be geomagnetically active, and the nights are already long by then.
Darkest nights of the coming year
A bright moon washes out a weak display as effectively as street lighting. These new moons fall inside the Valley East viewing season.
- 13 Aug 2026
- 11 Sep 2026
- 11 Oct 2026
- 09 Nov 2026
- 09 Dec 2026
- 07 Jan 2027
- 06 Feb 2027
Where it is close to a certainty
If you would rather plan a trip than wait for a storm, the nearest place with genuinely frequent aurora is Nuuk, 2,641 km north-north-east in Greenland.
| Valley East | Nuuk | |
|---|---|---|
| Kp needed | 7 | 3 |
| Nights per year | 3.2 | 171.4 |
| Geomagnetic latitude | 55.9° | 72.6° |
Confirmed reports from this area
31 verified sightings were logged within 300 km of Valley East between 2015-01-01 and 2016-12-31. Rare is not the same as impossible.
Aurorasaurus verified positive reports
Where the horizon opens up near Valley East
The display sits low on the northern horizon, so what beats a better forecast is open ground facing that way. Height gets you above the town glow; water gives you an unbroken skyline. These are within a short drive of Valley East.
- Onwatin Lake — lake6.0 km north-east
- Suez Pit — lake6.5 km east-north-east
- West Bay — bay14.9 km north-east
- High Island — island15.9 km north-east
- Finley Island — island16.5 km north-east
- Boland's Bay — bay17.6 km east
Places from GeoNames (CC BY 4.0)
The last nights it was visible here
Nights in the last decade when the storm was strong enough for Valley East and the sky was dark enough to show it.
| Date | Peak |
|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Kp 7.0 |
| 2026-01-20 | Kp 7.67 |
| 2026-01-19 | Kp 8.67 |
| 2025-11-12 | Kp 7.33 |
| 2025-11-11 | Kp 8.67 |
NOAA planetary Kp
Know when it is worth going outside
Revon watches the Valley East forecast and pushes an alert when the odds for tonight clear your threshold — no checking, no guessing.
Common questions about the aurora borealis in Valley East
Can you see the aurora borealis from Valley East?
Yes. On the last 10.0 years of NOAA Kp records, Valley East had about 3.2 nights a year when the storm was strong enough and the sky dark enough at the same time.
What Kp index do you need to see the aurora borealis in Valley East?
Kp 7. Valley East sits at geomagnetic latitude 55.9°, and the auroral oval only reaches that far from the pole once activity hits Kp 7. Storms that size occur about 3.2 nights a year.
When is the best time of year to see the aurora borealis in Valley East?
May, September and August. Those months scored highest once both conditions are counted together: geomagnetic activity and enough hours of real darkness.
Where can you escape the light pollution near Valley East?
The centre of Valley East reads Bortle 2. The nearest sky at Bortle 2 is about 12 km north around Greater Sudbury. On a marginal night that drive matters more than the forecast does.
Where is the nearest place to Valley East with reliable aurora borealis?
Nuuk, Greenland — 2,641 km north-north-east. It needs only Kp 3 and averages 171.4 viable nights a year against 3.2 in Valley East.
Nearby towns
Forecasts for places within reach of Valley East.
- 🇨🇦 North Bay - Canada123 km
- 🇨🇦 Huntsville - Canada200 km
- 🇨🇦 Timmins - Canada204 km
- 🇨🇦 Bracebridge - Canada222 km
- 🇨🇦 Midland - Canada228 km
- 🇨🇦 Rouyn-Noranda - Canada231 km
- 🇨🇦 Owen Sound - Canada231 km
- 🇨🇦 Collingwood - Canada248 km